Monday, January 31, 2011

Will Tunisia’s Jasmine Revolution Free the Arab World?

With a popular uprising that eventually ousted Tunisia’s own president-for-life, will Tunisia’s Jasmine Revolution eventually liberate the Arab world and the rest of Gulf state countries from their respective despots?

By: Ringo Bones

Named after Tunisia’s national flower the Jasmine Revolution – or similar popular uprisings - now on-going in Egypt and has just started, according to the BBC, in Jordan. Has been seen not just by Gulf State citizens but by everyone in the world as well as the pivotal moment that could eventually depose various despots and self-styled president-for-life type rulers in the Arab world. But will it really be successful in liberating the Arab world of long-ruling despots in a relatively peaceful manner?

With the Tunisian uprising still unfinished due to the personnel of the previous despotic regime are still in their posts and the tragic death toll from the clashes between soldiers and demonstrators calling for the ousting of President Hosni Mubarak in Egypt hovered around 30 by Saturday, January 29, 2011, the on-going revolution in the Arab world – dubbed as their Solidarity Movement of Gdansk Port / Fall of the Berlin Wall moment by political pundits – doesn’t seem to be resolving as peacefully as previously thought. And many top-level geopolitical analysts here in the West have fears that the Egyptian uprising might devolve into a Tiananmen Square style bloodbath.

The current Gulf State uprising is primarily aided by the clarion-call of existing Internet-based on-line social networks like Twitter and Facebook in organizing their rallies. Demonstrators in Egypt are rallying around Nobel laureate and former IAEA head Mohamed ElBaradei and could catapult ElBaradei as the potential replacement of president-for-life Hosni Mubarak who had ruled Egypt under emergency rule since the assassination of President Anwar Sadat back in 1981. Only time will tell if the liberation of the Arab World from its despots will be a relatively peaceful one.